Serie C . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Lecce vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ACD
1 - 1
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ABN
2 - 1
LEC
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LEC
3 - 0
FER
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ACD
1 - 1
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CUN
1 - 1
ACD
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACD
5 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 0
ACD
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |