Lecce vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.9%
33.3%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.3%
37.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAV
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 1
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
PIS
3 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
34%
31%
36%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
REG
62%
26%
13%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 0
SAM
58%
27%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
USF
0 - 0
PRG
33%
30%
38%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
PRG
1 - 0
PES
64%
25%
11%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |