Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
26.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
TER
51%
29%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEC
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 2
PES
45%
32%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
RIM
0 - 0
LEC
52%
29%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
PES
1 - 1
GEN
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 0
SSS
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
GEN
44%
31%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 0
GEN
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |