Lecce vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
EMP
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 2
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
BRE
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
CHI
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |