Lecce vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 2
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 0
USF
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 1
VER
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CTT
4 - 1
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ASC
1 - 1
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASC
42%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ASC
2 - 2
USF
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
USC
0 - 1
ASC
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |