FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 1-3
Leamington vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
LEA
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LEA
4 - 0
HYD
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LEA
4 - 1
WRO
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 3
TOW
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
LEA
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
WOR
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOS
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 1
RUG
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FYL
4 - 0
WOR
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STO
2 - 0
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |