Lazio vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
MES
0 - 2
LAZ
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
MOD
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 0
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAN
76%
14%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
SPA
5 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
FIO
0 - 1
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
MAN
2 - 0
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |