Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-1
CD Lagun Onak vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
LON
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LON
4 - 3
GIM
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 0
LON
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
LON
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
LON
2 - 0
ELG
50%
27%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
LON
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MOT
1 - 1
NUC
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
NUC
3 - 1
MOT
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
BUR
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 2
NUC
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |