Köln II vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BOR
1 - 1
DIE
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 1
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
DRE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
BAB
4 - 2
DIE
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 3
HOL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 0
SGD
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
BAB
4 - 2
CHE
38%
26%
35%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
WER
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
PAD
3 - 4
CHE
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 0
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |