Moen vs Blankenberge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
9º
61
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
KFM
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
KFM
2 - 1
RCL
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFM
5 - 1
KSV
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OOS
1 - 0
KFM
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KFM
5 - 1
RAC
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Blankenberge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
SAS
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KSV
0 - 4
BLA
9%
14%
78%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 2
RCL
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 2
DIK
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WEV
2 - 3
BLA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |