FA Cup . 1/512
Global 5-3
Kettering Town vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEA
3 - 3
KET
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KET
1 - 2
SPE
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
KET
2 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
KET
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 2
KET
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEA
3 - 3
KET
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
LEA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 0
LEA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
3 - 1
SOA
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
2 - 0
BOS
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |