FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 5-3
Kempston Rovers vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 3
KEM
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 4
KEM
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
POT
2 - 3
KEM
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KEM
2 - 1
EGH
22%
21%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 1
KEM
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 3
KEM
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
THR
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
GRE
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 4
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOL
1 - 0
CHI
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |