Kempston Rovers vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
KEM
15%
18%
68%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
KEM
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
KEM
2 - 0
AYL
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 1
KEM
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KEM
1 - 1
FLE
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ARL
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 2
AYL
23%
23%
54%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
2 - 3
HAN
20%
24%
57%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BEA
7 - 0
ARL
89%
9%
3%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 7
AFD
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |