Macedonia Second Division Round 20

Karaorman Struga vs Vardar Negotino analysis

Karaorman Struga Vardar Negotino
54 ELO 48
3% Tilt -3.2%
28097º General ELO ranking 8010º
80º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Karaorman Struga
22.8%
Draw
19.7%
Vardar Negotino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
Karaorman Struga
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
Vardar Negotino
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karaorman Struga
-46%
-36%
Vardar Negotino

ELO progression

Karaorman Struga
Vardar Negotino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karaorman Struga
Karaorman Struga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2006
JUG
Sloga Jugomagnat
0 - 1
Karaorman Struga
KAR
52%
24%
24%
52 51 1 0
10 Dec. 2005
FKS
FK Skopje
1 - 1
Karaorman Struga
KAR
45%
26%
29%
52 51 1 0
03 Dec. 2005
TET
Teteks
2 - 1
Karaorman Struga
KAR
40%
26%
34%
53 48 5 -1
26 Nov. 2005
KAR
Karaorman Struga
1 - 1
Pelister
PEL
36%
26%
39%
53 61 8 0
19 Nov. 2005
NAP
Napredok Kičevo
1 - 0
Karaorman Struga
KAR
37%
25%
38%
53 46 7 0

Matches

Vardar Negotino
Vardar Negotino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2006
VAN
Vardar Negotino
1 - 0
Pelister
PEL
26%
26%
48%
48 61 13 0
17 Dec. 2005
NAP
Napredok Kičevo
2 - 1
Vardar Negotino
VAN
49%
24%
28%
49 46 3 -1
10 Dec. 2005
VAN
Vardar Negotino
1 - 0
Turnovo
HTR
34%
27%
39%
48 56 8 +1
03 Dec. 2005
MET
Metalurg Skopje
2 - 1
Vardar Negotino
VAN
61%
22%
17%
48 55 7 0
26 Nov. 2005
VAN
Vardar Negotino
1 - 1
Novaci
NOV
50%
24%
26%
48 47 1 0