Série B Brazil Round 15

EC Juventude vs Vitória analysis

EC Juventude Vitória
77 ELO 72
-4% Tilt -7.3%
152º General ELO ranking 188º
20º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
54.1%
EC Juventude
25.8%
Draw
20.1%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.1%
Win probability
Vitória
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Juventude
-13%
-11%
Vitória

Points and table prediction

EC Juventude
Their league position
Vitória
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
19º
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória
72
72
100%
EC Juventude
65
65
100%
Criciúma
64
64
100%
Atlético GO
64
64
100%
Sport Recife
63
63
0%
Novorizontino
63
63
0%
Mirassol FC
63
63
0%
Vila Nova
61
61
100%
Guaraní
10º
57
57
0%
CRB
57
57
10º
0%
Ceará
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Botafogo SP
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Avaí
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Ituano
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Ponte Preta
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Chapecoense
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Tombense
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Londrina
19º
31
31
19º
100%
ABC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
EC Juventude
Vitória
Promotion
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

EC Juventude
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2023
LON
Londrina
1 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
31%
29%
40%
76 69 7 0
23 Jun. 2023
SPO
Sport Recife
3 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
62%
22%
16%
77 83 6 -1
11 Jun. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 2
Tombense
TOM
63%
23%
14%
77 67 10 0
08 Jun. 2023
CRI
Criciúma
0 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
41%
29%
31%
76 77 1 +1
03 Jun. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
3 - 2
Avaí
AVA
48%
27%
25%
76 74 2 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2023
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Sampaio Correa
SAM
44%
29%
27%
72 72 0 0
25 Jun. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
51%
27%
22%
73 74 1 -1
11 Jun. 2023
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
38%
30%
32%
73 77 4 0
07 Jun. 2023
TOM
Tombense
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
37%
29%
34%
72 67 5 +1
03 Jun. 2023
VIT
Vitória
3 - 0
Ituano
ITU
38%
30%
32%
71 74 3 +1