EC Juventude vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
NOV
1 - 0
JUV
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
LON
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
PIN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
LON
1 - 1
JUV
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -5 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
PIN
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
CRI
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
LON
1 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
AVA
0 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |