Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
29%
22%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 7
LIB
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FAE
3 - 1
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
MUR
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
FOL
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 4
TPE
33%
26%
40%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |