Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
CAI
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FIO
8%
18%
73%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
5 - 0
JUV
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
2 - 0
FIO
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 0
TPE
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 3
FAE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
18%
25%
58%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |