Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JUN
0 - 4
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 1
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SFE
3 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
IND
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 2
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 1
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |