Junior vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 1
JUN
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
JUN
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 1
PAS
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 0
OPE
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 2
FLU
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
67%
20%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |