Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . Last 16
Global 2-3
Jorge Newbery VM vs Argentino General Alvear analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 1
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
RQG
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RQG
0 - 0
NEW
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 1
CNU
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAH
1 - 2
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino General Alvear
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 1
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AGA
2 - 0
PAC
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
AGA
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 0
AGA
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AGA
2 - 0
AND
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |