Joinville vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
JEC
1 - 2
INT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
AME
2 - 2
JEC
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
SAN
2 - 0
JEC
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
JEC
0 - 0
GUA
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
JEC
2 - 0
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
VAS
3 - 1
VNG
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ATM
0 - 0
VAS
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
58%
25%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
VIT
0 - 5
VAS
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |