Joane vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIB
2 - 1
JOA
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 0
OSL
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 0
JOA
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
JOA
2 - 1
PAD
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VIZ
3 - 2
JOA
73%
18%
10%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 0
GON
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAF
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 1
FAF
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
0 - 0
TIR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |