Jiangsu FC vs Beijing BSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
HBF
1 - 1
JIA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
JIA
0 - 1
HEN
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 1
JIA
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
JIA
0 - 3
YAN
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
KAN
1 - 3
JIA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing BSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BEI
1 - 3
TIB
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SHA
0 - 0
BEI
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BEI
0 - 0
HBF
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HEN
1 - 0
BEI
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BEI
0 - 1
NAN
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |