Jesina vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
JES
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JES
0 - 2
AVE
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
GIU
0 - 0
JES
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JES
2 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
JES
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
MAT
24%
27%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAT
35%
27%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
MAT
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |