Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
ICR
0 - 2
JER
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
JER
0 - 0
POL
38%
28%
35%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
SEV
2 - 0
JER
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
JER
0 - 0
MEL
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
CAD
2 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 2
RJA
33%
29%
39%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ALM
3 - 0
MOR
65%
22%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 2
BET
40%
27%
34%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
XER
3 - 1
MOR
65%
22%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 2
AGD
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |