Jerez vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
JER
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
EXT
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CPC
1 - 3
JER
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
PPJ
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
COR
2 - 1
JER
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 0
AGD
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
LAN
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
AGD
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 1
BET
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |