Jaguares FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
JAG
36%
27%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 0
HUI
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
ENV
1 - 0
JAG
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 2
PAS
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 3
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
SFE
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |