Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KFC
1 - 0
JAG
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
2 - 0
SAL
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UWA
2 - 3
JAG
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 1
SWI
15%
22%
64%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KSB
4 - 2
JAG
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LTM
4 - 0
KSB
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POL
2 - 1
LTM
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LTM
1 - 1
USK
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
WIS
1 - 4
LTM
21%
20%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
KSL
3 - 1
LTM
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |