Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
JAG
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 3
STA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PLO
2 - 2
JAG
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
2 - 1
CRA
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 1
SLA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
RAK
2 - 0
SLA
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 2
RAK
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RAK
3 - 1
LPO
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
RAK
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
WIS
1 - 2
RAK
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |