Itapipoca vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
GPM
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ITA
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 2
TIR
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
FLO
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 2
HOR
13%
17%
70%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 2
HOR
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 1
IGU
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |