Italy U21 vs Czech Republic U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SRB
1 - 0
ITA
14%
22%
65%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
4 - 0
ALB
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 3
ITA
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
DEU
0 - 0
ITA
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Czech Republic U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
CZE
0 - 1
SRB
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
CZE
0 - 0
ENG
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
DEU
1 - 0
CZE
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 1
NLD
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
CZE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |