Italy U21 vs Slovenia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
6 - 0
ARM
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
ISL
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 1
ITA
6%
13%
81%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
IRL
0 - 0
ITA
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
5 - 0
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | -1 |
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
PRT
0 - 0
SVN
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SVN
1 - 0
HUN
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SVN
2 - 2
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
SVN
1 - 1
GEO
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
SVN
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |