Irapuato vs Guerreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
IRA
36%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
0 - 0
MER
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
QRO
5 - 1
IRA
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
3 - 1
REB
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
SAG
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 3
REB
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 0
GUE
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GUE
2 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
2 - 0
GUE
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
GUE
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |