Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
AYA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 3
GAR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BIN
3 - 1
AYA
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AYA
2 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
HUA
1 - 1
AYA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 2
CIE
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
5 - 2
ALI
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
MAN
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
3 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
AUN
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |