Intersport Aroma vs Real Succes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Intersport Aroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
INT
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
INT
2 - 0
MAI
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
LOC
3 - 1
INT
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
INT
2 - 2
FCV
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
SAX
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
REA
0 - 4
FCV
15%
20%
66%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DIN
6 - 0
REA
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
10 - 0
REA
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
REA
3 - 0
MAI
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 0
REA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |