Inter vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
COM
2 - 1
INT
24%
22%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
INT
1 - 0
SPA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
UNI
0 - 4
INT
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1952 |
INT
3 - 0
PRO
85%
9%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
JUV
22%
23%
56%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 2
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ASL
4 - 0
LAZ
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |