Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
INT
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TPM
0 - 3
INT
8%
17%
75%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
SEO
0 - 3
INT
9%
18%
73%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
INT
30%
24%
47%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 3
GEN
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |