Internacional SC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
INT
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
INT
2 - 2
MET
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
6 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 1
LIT
84%
12%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 0
AVA
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 3
AVA
20%
25%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |