Asian Cup Grupo D. Jor. 2

Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia analysis

Indonesia Saudi Arabia
63 ELO 85
9.8% Tilt 11.9%
2857º General ELO ranking 372º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.1%
Indonesia
21.7%
Draw
64.2%
Saudi Arabia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
Indonesia
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.2%
Win probability
Saudi Arabia
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Indonesia
+9%
-5%
Saudi Arabia

ELO progression

Indonesia
Saudi Arabia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Indonesia
Indonesia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
2 - 1
Bahrein
BHR
26%
24%
49%
62 75 13 0
30 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
2 - 1
Serbia
SRB
23%
26%
51%
61 82 21 +1
24 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
0 - 1
Oman
OMN
24%
24%
53%
61 80 19 0
21 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
2 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
24%
27%
50%
60 81 21 +1
03 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
0 - 1
Singapore
SGP
53%
23%
24%
61 62 1 -1

Matches

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2007
KOR
South Korea
1 - 1
Saudi Arabia
SAU
62%
22%
16%
85 90 5 0
04 Jul. 2007
PRK
Korea DPR
1 - 1
Saudi Arabia
SAU
32%
28%
40%
85 73 12 0
01 Jul. 2007
OMN
Oman
3 - 1
Saudi Arabia
SAU
41%
27%
31%
86 80 6 -1
27 Jun. 2007
SGP
Singapore
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia
SAU
23%
26%
51%
86 62 24 0
24 Jun. 2007
SAU
Saudi Arabia
2 - 0
Nepal
NPL
81%
14%
5%
86 52 34 0
X