Independiente vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
IND
4 - 1
RAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
IND
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
ARG
2 - 0
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
IND
2 - 1
SLO
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 0
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1975 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
CAU
1 - 1
CEN
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CEN
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
CEN
0 - 0
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 0
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |