Independiente vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
IND
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IND
2 - 0
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 1
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 0
SLO
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GLP
0 - 2
ARS
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 0
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
3 - 0
COL
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 3
ARS
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |