Independiente Medellín vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 3
IND
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CUC
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HUI
2 - 3
AGU
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
AGU
27%
28%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |