Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 2
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IND
3 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
48%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |