Independiente Medellín vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
SCI
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 3
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
TFC
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
UNI
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
OCT
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
ONC
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
ONC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
NAC
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
NAC
12%
22%
66%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |