Independiente Medellín vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
SFE
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 1
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
CAL
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
IND
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
EQU
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |