Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 4-4
Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
ENV
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SFE
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
IND
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
EQU
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 0
SFE
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
PAS
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
ALI
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 0
MIL
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
PAS
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |