Serie B - Ecuador Round 18

Independiente Juniors vs Chacaritas analysis

Independiente Juniors Chacaritas
70 ELO 67
1.3% Tilt 0.8%
678º General ELO ranking 2619º
10º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Independiente Juniors
26.1%
Draw
21.6%
Chacaritas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
Independiente Juniors
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.6%
Win probability
Chacaritas
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente Juniors
-11%
-33%
Chacaritas

ELO progression

Independiente Juniors
Chacaritas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2021
CFC
Cumbayá
2 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
37%
29%
35%
71 67 4 0
21 Jun. 2021
INJ
Independiente Juniors
3 - 0
Atlético Porteño
POR
57%
25%
18%
70 64 6 +1
16 Jun. 2021
AME
América Quito
1 - 1
Independiente Juniors
INJ
51%
26%
23%
70 72 2 0
14 Jun. 2021
INJ
Independiente Juniors
1 - 3
CD El Nacional
NAC
44%
29%
28%
71 73 2 -1
09 Jun. 2021
GUA
Gualaceo
0 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
31%
30%
40%
71 66 5 0

Matches

Chacaritas
Chacaritas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2021
CHA
Chacaritas
2 - 3
Búhos ULVR
GUA
53%
25%
22%
68 64 4 0
20 Jun. 2021
CFC
Cumbayá
0 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
44%
28%
29%
68 67 1 0
16 Jun. 2021
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
0 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
52%
25%
23%
68 69 1 0
12 Jun. 2021
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 0
América Quito
AME
40%
29%
31%
67 73 6 +1
09 Jun. 2021
PQU
Atlético Santo Domingo
3 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
37%
29%
35%
68 65 3 -1