Independente SP vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 2
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 4
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |