Independência vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
74.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
VAS
4 - 3
IND
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
IND
0 - 4
JUV
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
4 - 0
IND
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
IND
2 - 3
PLA
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AND
4 - 4
IND
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 2
RIO
11%
16%
73%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
3 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
PAY
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |